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31 Jul 2014
July US NFP report to show strong growth of around 240K – Valeria Bednarik
FXStreet (Łódź) - Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, expects the US jobs report, due out tomorrow, to reveal another month of solid job gains, close to 240K , while the unemployment rate stands at 6.1%.
Key quotes
“For this month market expectations are of 230K new jobs added which will fit average and therefore be understood as positive.”
“The problem is still the participation rate, which measures the total number of people either employed or actively looking for work, a number the FED likes to ignore completely: the labor force participation rate for all ages stands at 62-8, the lowest since 1978.”
“Nevertheless, if the numbers results above expected, investors will likely choose to price in a sooner than expected rate hike, more over if FED statement confirms purchase programs will end upcoming spring, with dollar edging higher across the board."
Key quotes
“For this month market expectations are of 230K new jobs added which will fit average and therefore be understood as positive.”
“The problem is still the participation rate, which measures the total number of people either employed or actively looking for work, a number the FED likes to ignore completely: the labor force participation rate for all ages stands at 62-8, the lowest since 1978.”
“Nevertheless, if the numbers results above expected, investors will likely choose to price in a sooner than expected rate hike, more over if FED statement confirms purchase programs will end upcoming spring, with dollar edging higher across the board."